NHL draft grades are a subjective assessment of a team’s performance during the NHL Entry Draft. They’re typically assigned by hockey analysts and media outlets shortly after the draft concludes, attempting to predict the long-term impact of a team’s selections based on factors like prospect rankings, positional needs, value at each pick, and perceived potential.
It’s crucial to understand that draft grades are not definitive measures of success. They’re educated guesses, informed by available information and scouting reports. The actual impact of a draft class won’t be known for several years, as prospects develop in junior leagues, college, or European professional leagues before potentially reaching the NHL. Many highly-rated draft picks never pan out, while some later-round selections become valuable contributors or even stars.
Several factors contribute to a good draft grade. Firstly, selecting players who are consistently ranked high by independent scouting services is a common indicator. Teams that consistently pick players within the consensus top of their draft range are generally viewed favorably. However, deviating from the consensus isn’t necessarily bad. Sometimes, teams target players they believe have specific skills or traits that fit their organizational needs or development plans, even if those players aren’t universally considered top prospects.
Addressing positional needs is another factor considered. If a team lacks depth at a particular position, analysts often look favorably upon them drafting players who fill that void, especially if the selected players are considered high-potential prospects. However, simply drafting for need can be a mistake. The best strategy is often to select the best player available (BPA) regardless of position, as needs can change rapidly in the NHL.
Value is also assessed. Did a team get a player at a lower draft position than where they were expected to be selected? Snagging a player projected to be a first-rounder in the second round is generally seen as a win. Teams are often praised for trading down and acquiring more picks while still securing a player they valued highly. Conversely, reaching for a player who was projected to be drafted much later is typically viewed negatively.
Scouting expertise plays a significant role in draft grades. Teams with well-regarded scouting staffs are often given the benefit of the doubt, even if their picks are unconventional. The belief is that these teams have identified something special in a player that others have missed. The opposite is also true; teams with a history of poor drafting might face more scrutiny.
Ultimately, draft grades are entertainment and conversation starters. They generate excitement and debate amongst fans. However, it’s essential to remember they are just preliminary opinions. The true test of a draft class is how the players perform on the ice years down the line.